Energy demand & CO2 emissions forecasting
Corso
A Grenoble (Francia)
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Descrizione
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Tipologia
Seminario
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Luogo
Grenoble (Francia)
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Durata
5 Giorni
Obiettivo del corso: This training session is dedicated to long term energy demand forecasting models. It will provide methodologies and tools to understand and design econometric and end-use models. Rivolto a: This dowstream economics training is a practical course for the professionnals in charge of forecasting and planning studies in energy industries and administrations: economist, planification manager, analyst, engineer, researcher, project manager, coordinator, consultant….
Sedi e date
Luogo
Inizio del corso
Inizio del corso
Opinioni
Programma
Session 1 introduction
End-use models
Introduction : modeling issues
Econometric modeling: case of POLES
-Prospective analysis of economic instruments
-Case studies
End-use models
- Example of the Med-Pro Model
- Accounting for regulatory measures, for technical progress…
- Case studies
Session 2 - Industry
- Historical trends and context of policies and measures
- Drivers of the industrial energy demand : growth, intensities, consumption by unit, market shares, energy efficiency- Case studies
- Impact of energy efficiency and CO2 mitigation policies- Case of emissions allowances: Aspen Model
Session 3 - Households
- Historical trends and context of policies and measures
- Drivers of the energy demand : demography, equipment, market shares, energy efficiency
- Heating, specific use of electricity
- Impact of rational energy efficiency and CO2 mitigation policies
Session 4 – Tertiary & transport
Tertiary Sector
- Historical trends
- Modeling of drivers : employment, equipment, market share, energy efficiency
Transport
- Modeling of drivers : fleet, traffic, unit consumption, modal spit
- Problems of regulatory instruments : case of cars
Session 5 Appropriate use of models
Building scenarios
-Why scenarios?
-How to build scenarios to evaluate policies?
From scenarios to decisions
- How to evaluate and interprete several forecasts for a unique decision?
Training evaluation
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Energy demand & CO2 emissions forecasting